Chapter 3022: Mercury Notes (19)
Bruce felt very depressed.
At 3:30 in the morning, he sat up abruptly from the bed, walked to the refrigerator in the living room of the bedroom suite, took a bottle of beer, and sat by the window watching the sun.
Because Mercury is very close to the sun, the windows of all rooms here can basically see the sun. The glass is a specially treated material that allows people to look directly at this surging fireball, watching various mysterious patterns slowly bloom before their eyes, which also makes people feel relaxed.
However, Bruce's mood couldn't be relaxed now. After sitting by the window and finishing a bottle of beer, he sat at the desk again and started reading Jenna's thesis.
If you want to say whether she wrote it right or not, the accuracy rate can't be said to be 100%, but at least it's 90%. But if you want to say whether she wrote it well or not, it can basically be called a mess.
Many times, right and good should be related. As long as you can write the knowledge correctly, even if it's not excellent, it's not bad. But Jenna can do it both right and bad.
Specifically, in the argumentation of a case, her result and starting point are correct. She can analyze why the victim died, can also analyze the murderer's motive, and accurately find out who the murderer is, but the process in the middle is all made up.
Normally, reasoning is linear. Even if some cases have many lines and require more witnesses and physical evidence, it's step by step.
Inferring the class of the person holding the physical evidence from the material of a certain piece of physical evidence, then looking for possible groups among this class, and then excluding other individuals in the group, finally locking onto several suspects, this is an essential process of modern criminal investigation.
But Jenna's reasoning process is jumpy. When she gets this material, she locks onto the suspect directly. When asked why, she says these people are the kind of people who would use this physical evidence.
Is her judgment correct? Of course it's correct. Basically, every time she locks onto them, it's very accurate, even far exceeding the range of suspects that this physical evidence can infer.
But tracing back her inference process, it makes no sense at all.
Because the class hours were compressed quite severely, within a few days, Bruce had already entered the case analysis stage.
Bruce specifically found a very obscure case, a murder case in Cat Getan decades ago. Except for sporadic data in the confidential database of the Cat Getan Police Department, basically no one knew any information, and Jenna couldn't possibly find out who the murderer was on the internet or anywhere else.
The important evidence for this case was a handkerchief. Theoretically speaking, by observing the picture of the handkerchief, it can basically be concluded that the material of the handkerchief is high-end imported silk, and the embroidery on it is also very exquisite. Through investigation, it can be learned that this type of handkerchief is very troublesome to maintain. Even if the hands are not delicate enough, there is a possibility of snagging the silk.
Through this, it can be inferred that the person who owns this handkerchief is either rich or noble, because if a bottom-level citizen stole the handkerchief, the calluses on their hands might cause damage to the handkerchief. The handkerchief in the photo, however, appears very intact, looking like it has been carefully maintained, so its previous owner is almost impossible to be a poor person.
Except for Jenna, everyone Bruce found inferred that the person who owned this handkerchief should be a noble lady in high society, and they all started looking for suspicious targets among the female relatives of the twelve families in Cat Getan.
But Jenna locked onto a male hairdresser, and at the moment she saw the advertisement for the barbershop owned by this male hairdresser, she locked him as the most likely owner of the handkerchief and the suspect of the crime.
The result, of course, was that she was right.
And when Bruce asked her to report her reasoning process, she just said that the person who owns this handkerchief must be a male germaphobe, and he is gay. She saw certain traits of homosexuals and psychopaths from the poster of the barbershop, and believed that it was completely consistent with the temperament of the handkerchief owner, thus inferring him as a suspect.
This kind of statement couldn't convince anyone at all, because the brain circuit of normal people isn't like this.
Most people see a light pink silk handkerchief embroidered with grape vine patterns, and most will associate it with women, rich people, and those obsessed with hand care.
This isn't a stereotype, but a rigorous reasoning combined with the background of the times.
The case happened decades ago. At that time, there was basically no avant-garde thinking. The thinking of the rich was also very conservative. They basically wouldn't use things that didn't fit their status and exceeded the framework of their class. The dresses and jewelry of men and women could be called standard equipment. Almost everyone in this group used the same thing.
Then, checking the female group first would be the normal person's train of thought, because 99.9% of this type of handkerchief is used by women. Without any other evidence, one should prioritize checking the female group.
But here, Jenna's thinking jumped, and she felt that this handkerchief was a man's.
Bruce wanted her to produce evidence. In order to conform to the process of behavioral analysis, Jenna started making things up.
At one moment, she said that in myths, grapes are usually linked to the blood left by Jesus, so choosing the grape vine pattern is hinting that the other party is a male like Jesus.
At another moment, she said that the fruits produced by grapes are many, representing strong reproductive ability, which is a male-oriented reproductive worship, so it is highly likely that a male uses this pattern.
She even said that the production process of silk is like people combing hair, and the feel is also like smooth hair, so it can be inferred that the other party's profession is likely to deal with hair.
The most headache-inducing thing is that you can't say that what Jenna said makes no sense at all. The points she mentioned do indeed exist.
In Western culture, wine is indeed usually used to refer to the blood of Jesus. Grapes also have the meaning of many children and many blessings in Eastern culture. You can't say it's not reproductive worship. The similarity between silk and hair being equally smooth, although a bit far-fetched, you can't say it's not like it at all.
But all these inference processes give people the feeling of holding the answer and forcing the process.
But precisely because her answer is correct, everything she says makes sense, and then the students below follow suit, making a look of "why didn't I think of that."
Then at this time, Bruce comes out to say the normal behavioral analysis inference, and people will feel, aren't you taking a detour?
The evidence of male reproductive worship she mentioned is also very reasonable. Why check women first? Isn't this deliberately delaying time?
Even more so, some people feel that the set Bruce said is too old-fashioned. Solving a case clearly requires inspiration. Only such people can become great detectives. The method of excluding suspects step by step is not knowing how to adapt, pedantic and backward.
It made Bruce angry to death.
With Jenna doing this, Bruce's class was basically ruined, because later the students would be divided into two factions, starting to argue about who was right.
The logic faction thinks Jenna's inference has no logic, but the inspiration faction feels Jenna's inference is correct, and conversely, the logic faction is too time-consuming, and then the logic faction says, can you be right every time? As a result, Jenna is really right every time, and the inspiration faction can conversely mock the logic faction.
The two sides refused to give in, and as they argued, it evolved into a full-scale fight. More importantly, it also involved race and gender.
Some people, in order to suppress the arrogant spirit of the inspiration faction, said things like female logic is relatively weak. It wasn't that direct, but the meaning was about the same, implicitly saying Jenna wasn't rational enough. This made the Amazonian girls angry.
Then some people started saying that Jenna is an alien, maybe she can read minds, deliberately interfering with their group of Earthlings learning, and other aliens or races other than humans also started to be dissatisfied.
Finally, the parties fought into a ball. In class today, Bruce had to invite Clark and Diana over to barely stop the dispute among the students.
Both sides demanded that Bruce give them an explanation, let Bruce be the judge, and say which side is right.
Although Bruce is good at behavioral analysis, he still told the students according to the definition in the book that psychology itself is divided into two schools: behavioral analysis and psychoanalysis. Some people are more inclined to behavioral analysis, and some people are more inclined to psychoanalysis. Jenna is the latter.
Then of course someone will ask, what is the principle of psychoanalysis? Is it that a part of people's brains is different from others, and they can guess the murderer out of thin air? Then why did God create people's brains differently?
The problem returned to the category of theology.
Bruce talked about behavioral analysis, which was very reasonable, but if you let him explain psychoanalysis, he couldn't explain it clearly either. Except for the definition in the book, he had nothing else to say.
Because in fact, he also felt from the bottom of his heart that psychoanalysis is theology, it is God opening an extra groove in some people's brains.
But these words cannot be said to the students. If you tell them that some people are born to guess accurately, then what is the meaning of learning?
Although everyone knows that there is a gap in talent between people, the gap between people and aliens is even greater. Jenna can't be considered very strong, but she can easily do 600 push-ups. Strong human guys can't compare to her.
But the gap in physical talent is intuitive, while the gap in IQ is very inconspicuous. This is why those mentally retarded people who can barely take care of themselves in life are not easily discovered, because there is no instrument that can measure this thing specifically, and it doesn't reach the level of making people see the coffin and shed tears, so everyone naturally assumes that everyone is the same.
And when one is in a weak position, everyone is unwilling to admit it. Even ordinary people, how many people are willing to admit that their IQ is low?
Everyone here is a proud son of heaven, at least among their own groups, they are all top-notch outstanding people. Who is willing to admit that they are inferior to others?
But the talent of psychoanalysis is really impossible to say. Without seeing it with one's own eyes, no one can imagine how mysterious it can be.
Bruce had already seen more miracles in Schiller, just like Schiller admitted that Bruce really couldn't learn psychoanalysis, Bruce had long admitted that the talent of psychoanalysis really exists. Guessing accurately every time is not a coincidence, it is a talent that can truly support a psychological school.
But even if he knew, he couldn't just tell the students. This is really too discouraging for some people's enthusiasm.
You worked hard for a long time to make inferences, and every link was very rigorous and reliable, but the inference was wrong, while the other party looked at the photo of the evidence or the crime scene photo and could accurately say who the murderer was. Then what is the point of learning?
After looking at Jenna's nonsense in front of the table for a long time, Bruce chose to put down the thesis and went to the refrigerator to take another bottle of beer.
End of Chapter
