Chapter 3519: I Will Suggest It

Su Xinghui's words were certainly not alarmist. In the era he was reborn from, China's total social fertility rate had dropped to almost the lowest level in the world, and at that time, the second child was fully opened up, but the fertility rate was still like this. What kind of concept is this?

Developed countries like Europe, America, and Japan have always had low fertility rates, but no matter how low they are, they have been hovering around 1.5 and have not dropped as low as China. However, China's fertility rate has dropped to a terrible level.

When the two-child policy was just opened, there was a birth peak, but later, everyone's willingness to have a second child decreased, and it decreased relatively quickly, especially those couples born in the 90s. Some were not even willing to have one child, so how could they be willing to have a second child?

The reason for this is related to many aspects. For example, in the past, it was raising children to prevent old age. Having one more child meant one more person to help support oneself in old age, and there was one more labor force in the family. Moreover, it was easy to raise them, just one more pair of chopsticks, and the cost was relatively low.

But later, everyone basically had a pension, so the factor of raising children to prevent old age weakened, but the cost of raising a child increased by many times. After everyone's education level was higher, they were all carefully raising their children. Children ate well, dressed well, and school was expensive. There were also various tutoring classes. At least tens of thousands of yuan had to be spent on a child every year.

This is still a small part. When the child grows up, the big part comes. The child wants to get married, so they have to buy a house, right? They have to buy a car, right? The housing prices that come later are not a small number. It often takes the savings of a whole family to pay for a down payment, and they have to carry a lifetime of mortgage.

Just imagine, it is so difficult to raise a child, who dares to have a second child?

In addition, the increasing education level of women is also the reason why they are unwilling to have a second child. The education level of Chinese women is getting higher and higher, and their participation in labor is also the highest in the world, but giving birth has become a stumbling block on their career path.

Having a child means pregnancy for nearly a year, and after giving birth, there is a maternity leave of several months, as well as a lactation period. This is almost two years or more that they cannot work well, and their competitiveness is naturally weakened. Moreover, the company is not happy because they have to support this female employee for more than two years for nothing.

If they have a second child, this process has to come again. Just imagine, how many professional women are willing to have a second child?

In short, various factors have caused China's fertility rate to become lower and lower.

Su Xinghui has experienced all this, so he hopes to arouse Gu Shanmin's attention, and then let the main leaders of the central government also pay attention to this problem, be able to evaluate this problem, and finally be able to modify the family planning policy earlier and open up the two-child policy earlier.

Gu Shanmin also understands economics, but he hasn't thought so far, because that is something that will happen decades later, and in the concept of this era, he still feels that there are too many Chinese people, and in the subconscious of many people, the number of Chinese people is still increasing.

In fact, this idea is not unreasonable. China's population is indeed still growing, but this is because of the growth of life expectancy, not because the number of births is large.

But now, Su Xinghui has said such words, and Gu Shanmin feels more and more reasonable, because many developed countries in Europe and America have experienced negative population growth, which he knows. These countries have introduced many preferential policies to encourage childbirth in order to increase the population, but they have not played much role.

Gu Shanmin's brows wrinkled again. After a long time, he said, "Is it really necessary for us to modify the family planning policy now? It shouldn't have reached that point yet, right?"

Su Xinghui said, "Many developed countries in Europe and America have negative population growth. You should also know that they encourage childbirth, but it has not had any effect. If China does not change the family planning policy, after another ten years or so, I am afraid that China will also have such a situation."

Gu Shanmin said, "China won't have such a situation, right? Chinese people have traditional concepts, thinking that raising children to prevent old age, more children and more blessings. When the fertility rate continues to decline, we will change the family planning policy, and it will be in time!"

Su Xinghui shook his head and said, "By that time, it will be too late. Although Chinese people think that more children and more blessings, but you see that housing prices are rising so sharply now, and prices are also rising sharply. In the future, there is no need to raise children to prevent old age, and the cost of raising children is getting higher and higher. Who is willing to have one more?"

Su Xinghui's words made Gu Shanmin ponder again. He had to admit that Su Xinghui's words were very reasonable. It seems that this matter of increasing the fertility rate is linked to housing prices.

Su Xinghui said again, "Uncle Gu, whether the family planning policy is modified does not need to be decided now, but I think the central government should conduct a comprehensive assessment of this problem now, let experts demonstrate and evaluate this problem, and make a final decision based on the experts' opinions."

Su Xinghui knows that this comprehensive assessment process may take a long time, perhaps a few years, because family planning is a basic national policy that has been implemented for nearly 30 years. How easy is it to change it overnight? Central leaders will definitely demonstrate and evaluate from many sides before it is possible to make up their minds.

However, no matter what, Su Xinghui hopes to be able to modify the family planning policy earlier. Even if it is only one or two years earlier than his previous life, it is very important. One or two years earlier may be able to give birth to tens of millions of people.

Population is too important for China.

The newly born population is the market for China, and it is also the labor force, and it is the driving force for society to maintain innovation and vitality. If the newly born population is less and less, China will be like Japan, entering an aging society and slowly losing its vitality.

The most extreme example is that when the population decreases to a certain number, quantitative change will lead to qualitative change, which will make China lose its competitiveness in the international arena.

Moreover, the current family planning policy is only aimed at the Han nationality, and the Han nationality is the main ethnic group in China. Under such a policy, the proportion of the Han population in the national population is definitely declining. Although this downward trend is relatively slow, it will also drop to a relatively dangerous critical point over a long period of time.

If the proportion of the main ethnic group in a country is too low, the country will become unstable.

Later, some European and American countries, because their fertility rates continued to decline, introduced many foreign populations in order to introduce labor. The proportion of these foreign populations is getting higher and higher, which has also caused many riots in these European and American developed countries. This is a very obvious example.

Therefore, no matter from which aspect, China's population cannot be reduced. To achieve this goal, the family planning policy must be modified earlier.

Gu Shanmin was still pondering. He had a lit cigarette in his hand, but he didn't smoke much. He let the white smoke linger in front of him. This was his habit. Every time he pondered, he would do this.

After a long time, he pressed the cigarette butt heavily into the ashtray and said, "Okay, I will suggest to the central government to conduct a comprehensive demonstration of the problem you mentioned."

Su Xinghui let out a long sigh of relief. He finally moved Gu Shanmin. He originally thought that it would not be so easy to move Gu Shanmin on this matter, because Gu Shanmin was a relatively old-fashioned person, and he would not easily move such a basic national policy.

With Gu Shanmin's influence, if he makes suggestions, the central government will definitely attach great importance to this problem and then find relevant experts to demonstrate this problem.

In this era, some population experts have already proposed to modify the family planning policy, because they are experts in this field and see the disadvantages of declining fertility rates more clearly than ordinary people.

However, these population experts are humble and their appeals have not reached the ears of central leaders, or they have reached the ears of central leaders and have not attracted attention. Everyone feels that there are still many Chinese people, how can they decrease?

Now, central leaders pay attention to this matter, and those experts' words, presumably they can listen to them.

Su Xinghui said solemnly, "Uncle Gu, then I will leave this matter to you. This matter is related to the future of the Chinese nation. Please be sure to pay attention to it!"

Gu Shanmin looked at Su Xinghui's eyes and nodded, "Don't worry, I will pay attention to this matter."

The reason why Gu Shanmin agreed to this matter is because he trusts Su Xinghui very much. Some of Su Xinghui's previous predictions have been realized one by one, and some of the things he did were not understood by some people at the time, but after a period of time, it was proved that he was right.

So Gu Shanmin trusts Su Xinghui's vision very much. Since Su Xinghui attaches such importance to this matter, then this matter must have a reason for Su Xinghui to attach importance to it. ===== CHAPTER 3521 =====