Chapter 1217: If you knew about a stock market crash in advance, what should you do?!

If you knew ahead of time that the U. S. stock market would plummet, how would you short it to make a profit during that process?

This was a question Naoki Nagayama had seen on a certain Q&A site in his previous life. Countless retail investors and institutions had different approaches, but overall, one point was clear.

As long as the judgment you make is correct, you will definitely be able to make money!

"Genta-san..."

Naoki Nagayama's tone of voice seemed somewhat unfocused.

"If you predicted that a stock market crash would occur in three months, what do you think we should do now?!"

"Huh?"

Genta Nakai was still trembling from the "greatest maneuver ever" he had just witnessed, when suddenly Naoki Nagayama said something else that made his liver quiver; for a moment, he found it hard to accept.

"Ah!!!"

"Naoki-san, are you saying that a stock market crash will happen in three months?!"

"I didn't say that!" Naoki Nagayama shook his head. "I only said 'if'!"

"Isn't that just..."

Genta Nakai stood up excitedly, feeling somewhat flustered and panicked, with a hint of hidden excitement and ecstasy... but fortunately, having been in the financial market for several years, he managed to calm his mood after a few deep breaths.

After sitting back down, he unscrewed a cold drink from the small office refrigerator and took a big gulp.

"Naoki-san... are you certain?!"

If an ordinary person said they had predicted a stock market crash, Genta Nakai would definitely give them a slap and tell them to get lost. Trying to play the prophet in front of him, Genta Nakai?

Do you think I, Genta Nakai, am that easy to fool?!

However, since the person saying this was Naoki Nagayama, Genta Nakai had to be cautious... Ever since he met Naoki Nagayama, his operations in the financial market had been nothing short of "God's hand"!

"I told you, it's just a prediction~"

Naoki Nagayama wasn't playing the "insider information" game anymore. What kind of person could have insider information on something like a stock market crash?!

"However, since the beginning of the year, major investment institutions around the world should have had a premonition. The scale of capital in the stock market now far exceeds the real economy, which in itself is very dangerous..."

The "Plaza Accord" signed by the five countries didn't have much effect on exchange rates, but it stimulated the financial market and attracted more capital into the stock market, making global stock markets increasingly prosperous.

"Actually, analysts at large foreign investment institutions all know more or less that there will be trouble, but right now it's just a game of passing the parcel. It depends on who ends up holding the bag when it crashes..."

Genta Nakai didn't have any expectations for Naoki Nagayama's subsequent analysis; he just stared at Naoki Nagayama.

"Naoki-san, tell me, what are we going to do?!"

"... Uh..."

Hearing his decisive words, without a hint of doubt, Naoki Nagayama was somewhat surprised. Was this accepted too quickly?

It seems his previous PUA and brainwashing were very effective. Now, the "thought seal" was firmly imprinted in Genta Nakai's mind...

"I estimate that there will be a major market turmoil in October, a big drop..."

After Naoki Nagayama finished speaking, he threw the topic back.

"Genta-san, you should be very familiar with actual operations now. Since you know this future, tell me, what should we do?"

"Eh? I should say it?"

"Of course. You are the trader now! The goal is clear, the order has been issued, and the stock market is your battlefield from here on out!"

"!!!"

Genta Nakai only felt a fire ignited in his chest. Knowing there would be a change, he, a veteran of the financial market, was about to take the helm of the Tree Friend Capital ship and set sail toward the goal...

All of the above were Genta Nakai's inner thoughts... In reality, Genta-san was still very pragmatic and soon calmed down.

"Naoki-san, if there are only three months left, building a position is already a bit late.

Since that's the case, we can use more traditional methods: short selling through margin trading, and shorting futures..."

"These two methods are the simplest and are more suitable for our current volume..."

Combining the U. S. and Japan, Naoki Nagayama himself had over 1 billion USD in funds, not to mention the other capital accounts controlled by Tree Friend Capital itself, which totaled about 600 million USD.

"If we add leverage, it's easier to talk about in Japan, but it might be more troublesome in the U. S..."

With Tree Friend Capital's current reputation, it was easy to borrow a short-term loan from a Japanese bank, but that shell company in the U. S. was very difficult, and finding a large brokerage firm was also troublesome.

"In addition, we have to consider the reaction of the regulatory agencies. Similarly, Japan is fine, but if we get caught in the U. S. on charges of manipulating the stock market..."

Genta Nakai analyzed the current situation point by point. After managing Tree Friend Capital for so long, his knowledge in all aspects was quite comprehensive, especially since as the volume increased, the intensity of regulation would also increase geometrically.

If you are an individual investor putting 10,000 yuan into the stock market and making 10 times the profit, no one will care about you. But if you have 1 billion in the stock market and make 1 time the profit, countless relevant departments will come to "have a chat" with you~

The complex background relationships behind those large investment institutions cannot be figured out easily. Without power, you cannot keep the wealth in your hands.

"Sure enough, at this stage, it's impossible not to get involved in politics!"

Naoki Nagayama sighed, his determination to support politicians strengthening in his heart.

Genta Nakai opposite him was still talking, but Naoki Nagayama had recalled too many things in his mind just now and was now somewhat dazed.

"Genta-san... right now, we just have an idea..."

"Wait until you have sorted it out well in the next two days, and come up with a specific plan..."

Genta Nakai nodded.

"Okay! Naoki-san, I feel all kinds of ideas popping up constantly, I really need time to think it over...

But this kind of trading operation definitely cannot be done by just the two of us. If we want to keep it confidential, we can't tell the operators the truth..."

"Haha, we can hold a meeting to discuss it first... something like how to profit in a plummeting market..." Naoki Nagayama laughed. "Just treat it as a brainstorming session... then create a simulation plan, call it 'Trading Plan Under Extreme Conditions'..."

"Then say we are trying out the operation according to the contingency plan..."

"Finally, by the time the real money is invested and they realize it, it will be almost the last moment..."

"..."

It's just like conducting live-fire exercises in the bay; it can turn into a landing operation at any time!

Coming out of the building in Ginza, the things discussed with Genta Nakai and the memories related to the stock market crash lingered in his head. For a moment, he actually didn't have the thought of going home.

Looking left and right, he realized that "Sanmeiju," which he hadn't visited for a long time, was not far away. Naoki Nagayama turned his steps and headed toward Sanmeiju.

The distinctive green ancient-style roof had already made Sanmeiju a feature of the commercial street. Over the years, it had taken root in the bustling commercial street of reinforced concrete, and every day there were tourists who came for its reputation as well as regular customers from nearby office buildings.

"Naoki-san?!"

Waitress Akihiko Matsumura saw Naoki Nagayama entering from the front door at a glance. Even though she hadn't seen Naoki Nagayama come for tea often, she had a very deep impression of such a famous big boss.

"Ah... you are..."

Naoki Nagayama was slightly embarrassed. Having not come for a long time, he couldn't remember this unfamiliar waitress.

"Sumimasen, I can't remember your name!"

"Daijobu, daijobu, I am Akihiko Matsumura... I haven't seen Naoki-san many times... so it's normal not to remember!"

Akihiko Matsumura quickly waved her hands. She was very satisfied with her job at Sanmeiju. The monthly salary of 300,000 plus the year-end bonus was already better than some white-collar workers.

"I'll go inform Manager Sakakibara..."

"..."

Watching the waitress running hurriedly into the back kitchen, Naoki Nagayama was a bit speechless. You should have brought me in first...

But it was only a few breaths before he saw Chinatsu Sakakibara, wearing a kimono, walking out quickly with a look of surprise on her face.

"Naoki-san... Sashiburi... You haven't been to Sanmeiju for tea for a long time!"

"Chinatsu-san, sashiburi... It's just that after starting a family, there isn't much free time~"

Naoki Nagayama responded with a smile.

"How is business at Sanmeiju lately?"

"Hai... the customers take good care of our business. Today Yasui-san went to purchase new tea leaves, otherwise he could report to Naoki-san as well..."

Chinatsu Sakakibara explained slightly, then clapped her hands and said playfully,

"Ah... look at me, Naoki-san, please follow me... The private room on the top floor has always been reserved for you, we clean it every day..."

"That's really thoughtful..."

""

Walking up the retro staircase, Naoki Nagayama still had the leisure to appreciate the furnishings in the teahouse... After the baptism of time, the furnishings that were originally antiques looked even more antique, and it seemed that because of the teahouse, they all carried some Zen charm.

"Sure enough, a teahouse like Sanmeiju needs the charm of history!"

"Yes, now customers all say that Sanmeiju is like one of those century-old shops!"

Chinatsu Sakakibara smiled and led Naoki Nagayama to the private room on the top floor. After pulling open the sliding door, inside was an exquisite tea room. Opening the window allowed one to enjoy the prosperity of Ginza while drinking tea and chatting.

"Naoki-san, are you still drinking Gyokuro?"

"Yes, sorry to trouble you..." Naoki Nagayama nodded.

"Please wait a moment, the tea leaves and tea snacks will be sent up immediately..."

After the room was left with only one person, Naoki Nagayama looked at the skyscrapers outside, watching the pedestrians coming and going on the street, but his mind went blank...

Information about the stock market crash surfaced bit by bit. He didn't trade stocks much before, so what he knew were all major news, things heard from others' mouths or seen in fun news, similar to things like "the market will never exceed 3000."

However, at this moment, a movie specifically about stock trading suddenly surfaced. It was the financial comedy "The Big Short," starring Batman Christian Bale.

It tells the story of several Huaerjie investment geniuses who made huge profits by shorting the subprime mortgage market against the backdrop of the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis.

In the past, when Naoki Nagayama recalled movies, he could quickly visualize all the scenes, but this time "The Big Short" was a bit difficult... it was like squeezing toothpaste...

Because there were many professional terms and financial jargon in it...

This is also why Huaerjie financial-themed movies are not very popular. The success of "The Big Short" should be attributed to the fact that several lead actors were box-office draws.

"People always follow the trend blindly, just like a flock of sheep... Isn't that ridiculous?!"

Naoki Nagayama spat out the lines from "The Big Short," his eyes showing emotion.

"Bubbles will always burst, isn't that common sense?!"

It was also a stock market bubble bursting, also an economic crisis, affecting thousands upon thousands of people... The movie "The Big Short" and the bursting of Japan's bubble era a year later actually just had different reasons for the bubble bursting.

"Greed makes people lose their minds, isn't that obvious?"

People who frantically speculate in real estate only have interests in their eyes, regardless of the consequences.

"The truth is often hidden beneath the prosperity, isn't that right?"

Just like Japan's golden age...

"..."

"Such a movie..."

He sighed.

"If it's filmed after Tree Friend Capital retreats unscathed, it should cause resistance from everyone!"

After having this judgment, Naoki Nagayama decided to hide the script of "The Big Short" deep in his own small treasury and not take it out unless absolutely necessary.

"However, it is useful for avoiding the subprime mortgage crisis~"

Taking a sip of the top-grade Gyokuro tea brewed by Chinatsu Sakakibara, a smile appeared on Naoki Nagayama's face... Forget it, economic crisis or whatever, don't worry about it...

Drink today's wine today, worry about tomorrow's worries tomorrow~

In the conference room of the Ken-On headquarters, Akina was holding little Xia Hua and liaising with people from the factory.

"The brand has been registered... according to what Akina decided before, it's called 'Bubble'..."

Ken-On designer Yoyo Ochi helped register the relevant company this time and handed the brand's relevant documents to Akina.

Originally, Akina wanted to start a cute brand like "Dango," but it had already been registered, so only the backup "Bubble" remained...

"So the clothing factory is called 'Bubble Factory'?"

Akina asked with a smile.

"Hai!"

Beside her, Mitsushi Muramatsu, who was in a suit and somewhat reserved, nodded. He was the factory manager of the small clothing factory for this cooperation.

He had received some clothing design drafts from Yoyo Ochi before, but today when he came here to see the designer, he didn't expect the real designer to be the big star Akina Nakamori!

"Ms. Akina Nakamori, I will hang up the 'Bubble Factory' sign after I go back!"

"Haha, there's no need to be so serious, I was just joking." Akina said with a smile, "However, this cooperation is signed by me personally and has nothing to do with Ken-On... so it's in the name of 'Akina Nagayama'."

"Hai, I understand!"

Mitsushi Muramatsu nodded repeatedly. His clothing factory was not big, and he couldn't follow the path of small profits but quick turnover like big factories, but he couldn't get orders for high-end brands, so he had always been lukewarm.

Now that Akina had come to acquire it, and the factory was still left to him to operate, it was already a very good thing.

"In the coming time, our brand will mainly focus on children's clothing and women's clothing."

After signing the contract, Akina directly arranged the direction of the next work.

"I have drawn a batch of design drafts before, please trouble Manager Muramatsu to make a batch first... just communicate with Ochi-san about sales..."

"Hai!" X2

Yoyo Ochi had already been brought into the fold by Akina and started working part-time in distribution~

After chatting about work for a while longer, seeing that little Xia Hua was already a bit irritable, Akina ended this communication.

After Yoyo Ochi and Manager Muramatsu left, she poked little Xia Hua's nose.

"I hope this startup can be successful~ Hua-chan... In the future, when Mommy makes beautiful clothes, I'll let you wear them, okay?"

"Okay~~" Little Xia Hua smiled.

Seeing her daughter's cute appearance, Akina suddenly gave a mischievous smile.

"Then, Hua-chan's pocket money in the future will all be used to buy clothes for Mommy, okay?"

"Okay~~"

Little Xia Hua, who didn't understand the sinister nature of the human heart at all, would only answer with one word no matter what Mommy said with a smile at this time. She had no idea that she had already pledged all her future pocket money...

"Yoshi, Hua-chan is great!"

Akina happily hugged little Xia Hua and kissed her, then started looking for other people at Ken-On to talk to.

She came to Ken-On today, besides communicating about the clothing factory, she also had to communicate about the next record~

?? I really searched on a certain Q&A site, and there really was a discussion about this kind of question!!! Sure enough, there are all kinds of talents in the world!

? (End of chapter) ===== CHAPTER 1218 =====